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The administration increased spying capabilities in Cuba to pressure the current regime for a potential transition.

The administration announced an increase in covert agent networks and surveillance flights around Cuba to pressure the current regime toward a potential surrender or fall. This expansion of intelligence gathering follows a period of intense pressure, including an oil blockade and sanctions targeting the military elite. While a full military operation has not been formally planned, the increased CIA presence serves as a strategic move to monitor the ongoing crisis. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel has pushed back against these efforts, accusing the administration of attempting to decimate the Cuban people. Meanwhile, the island faces significant structural deterioration, including prolonged blackouts, fuel shortages, and a contracting economy. The administration's strategy combines economic pressure with a more active political presence, aiming to generate fractures within the state apparatus to facilitate a political transition favorable to U.S. interests. This offensive is driven by both geopolitical competition with China and Russia and the strategic importance of Cuba's nickel and cobalt reserves.

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