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Joe Lombardo gains momentum in Nevada gubernatorial race as polling shifts toward the Republican incumbent

Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo is establishing a clear lead in the gubernatorial race as polling and forecasting models move toward a Republican victory. Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin recently upgraded the race rating from "Leans Republican" to "Likely Republican," following a series of surveys showing Lombardo leading his Democratic challenger, Attorney General Aaron Ford, by margins of 7 to 12 points. Lombardo has focused his campaign on preventing Nevada from adopting California-style policies, specifically criticizing the regulations and refinery policies of California Governor Gavin Newsom, which he argues drive up fuel costs for Nevada families. He has also highlighted Nevada's strong job growth and private investment. In contrast, Aaron Ford has faced challenges including an ethics complaint over special-interest travel and accusations of using outdated law enforcement footage in advertisements. Ford has been endorsed by Gavin Newsom and has pledged to repeal the state's 1953 right-to-work law. While Ford remains in the competition, the administration of the Better Nevada PAC has spent significantly more on advertising than Ford's campaign, positioning Lombardo as the frontrunner with a strengthening economic record.

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