The NBC News Decision Desk provides a definition for the expected vote count in midterm elections.

The NBC News Decision Desk defines the expected vote as the total number of votes anticipated in a given race once all votes are counted. This figure is an estimate based on several factors, including early voting data and information provided by county election officials on Election Day.

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The expected vote count can change as new information is gathered. Gray links in the election data represent races that have not yet occurred. Not every state will hold a races for every office during the midterm elections.

Sources

• NBC News
  Rhode Island Senate Primary Election 2026 Live Results

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Paywall and unreadable sources

• The New York Times
  The Establishment Pulls Through: Five Takeaways from the New Hampshire Primaries
• The Boston Globe
  John E. Sununu, Chris Pappas win N.H. primary for US Senate
• The Hill
  New Hampshire emerges as potential Senate battleground
• Politico
  ‘Don’t take this one for granted’: New Hampshire Democrats brace for a tough Senate race