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Republican State Leadership Committee Warns of Potential Democratic House Majority Due to Underfunding of State Legislative Races

The Republican State Leadership Committee issued a memo titled "Battle Beneath the Ballot" warning that the party may lose the upcoming round of redistricting battles in 2028. The memo states that a failure to invest in down-ballot state legislative elections could result in a "permanent Democratic House majority." While Republicans maintain a significant national fundraising lead, much of that capital is being directed toward congressional and gubernatorial races. In contrast, Democrats have committed over $134 million to state-level spending across four major organizations. The memo argues that the fight for Congress begins in state legislative districts, where a handful of seats can shape the battlefield for 2028. To prevent a permanent Democratic House majority, the memo suggests Republicans focus on state legislatures in Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Victories in these states could allow the GOP to shape up to 12 House districts, potentially providing a major boost to the federal level.

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