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Houthi rebels capture strategic Red Sea locations, tightening control over the Bab al-Mandeb strait

Houthi rebels have significantly tightened their grip on the Bab al-Mandeb strait by capturing the port city of Mocha and the strategic Perim Island. This rapid advance down the Red Sea coast consolidates the group's control over a vital maritime chokepoint that has served as a lifeline for global trade and regional oil exports.

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Since the start of the US-Iran war, the Bab al-Mandeb strait has become increasingly important as the nearby Strait of Hormuz has been effectively shuttered. Saudi Arabia has relied on the strait to export millions of barrels of oil daily. However, the Houthi threat has caused Saudi crude flows through the Bab al-Mandeb to collapse from 3 million barrels per day to approximately 400,000 barrels per day. To avoid the Houthi attacks, many oil cargoes are now taking a longer, more circuitous route around the base of Africa. This shift has caused oil prices to rise sharply, with Brent crude and WTI benchmarks hitting their highest levels since May. Shipping companies have seen vessel transits through the strait fall by 60% to 70% as they navigate the high-risk environment.

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