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Joshua Tallis notes that Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz may be more effective than a nuclear weapon.

Joshua Tallis, a former senior U.S. Navy official, stated that Iran's ability to impose economic pain on the global economy through the Strait of Hormuz is a more powerful weapon than a nuclear bomb. While the administration entered the conflict focused on Iran's nuclear program, Tehran's leverage over this maritime chokepoint has proven more consequential for global energy trade. By choking global trade, Iran achieves substantial strategic gains at minimal reputational cost compared to traditional weapons of mass destruction. This cost-effective campaign drains U.S. munitions while Iran builds its own capabilities quickly. The administration's pivot toward diplomacy has been complicated by Iran's success in these maritime tactics. Security analysts suggest that while the U.S. has historically relied on military coercion, Iran's asymmetric warfare strategy aims to make the American military presence more costly and difficult to sustain over the long term.

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