Sofia Slonovska highlights Russia's long-term war of attrition against Ukraine as Kyiv seeks to maintain momentum
Sofia Slonovska reports that while Ukraine has gained significant momentum through innovative asymmetric warfare and deep-strike campaigns, Russia continues to exert heavy pressure through a war of attrition. Moscow is utilizing its larger population and defense-industrial base to overwhelm Ukraine, targeting civilian infrastructure, fuel stations, and ports to impose costs on the Kremlin's war machine. While Ukraine's successes in disrupting Russian refineries and logistics sites are notable, Russia's advances remain slow and costly. The administration of the war is measured in years rather than months, with Russia occupying nearly one-fifth of Ukraine's internationally recognized territory. To sustain the effort, Ukraine requires a more sustainable manpower system and predictable supplies of ammunition and air-defense interceptors. Despite the current military situation being better than it has been for some time, Ukraine must prepare for a long-term engagement against a larger opponent that can absorb heavy losses and replace personnel more easily than Kyiv.
Sources
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Russia Is Far from Defeated
Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA)
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What is driving Ukraine’s momentum in the war?
Atlantic Council